Want to know the latest trends, matchups and injury news in football? We've got you. Want to know where the public has money this week? We've got you. Want to know which teams to play, whom to roster in DFS or whom to pick in your Eliminator pool? We've got you there, too. Here's everything you need to know as you prepare for your fantasy football matchups and potential bets on the games this weekend. Odds by ESPN BET.
NFL: Injury update | Matchups to exploit | Eliminator Challenge | DFS plays | Analytics Edges | Action Report | Confidence pool picks | Pigskin Pick'em
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Stephania Bell's injury update.
Get all the latest injury news here.
Matt Bowen's matchups to exploit
Jalen Hurts' deployment on designed rushing attempts vs. the 49ers: A critical piece to the Eagles run game, look for Hurts to be deployed situationally as a runner versus the 49ers on Sunday. Think third downs here, plus opportunities in the low red zone. Including the Eagles' "tush push" on the goal line, Hurts has rushed for 50 yards -- and four touchdowns -- on designed carries over his past two games, with wins over Buffalo and Kansas City.
Travis Kelce vs. the Packers' zone coverage schemes: Look for the Chiefs to scheme Kelce open on three-level concepts that attack the Packers' core zone coverages. Green Bay has played zone on 59.1% of opponent dropbacks this season, mixing both two-high and single-high schemes. In the Chiefs' Week 12 win over the zone-heavy Raiders, Kelce caught six of seven targets for 91 yards. Find open grass here and make yourself available to quarterback Patrick Mahomes.
For more breakdowns, check out Matt Bowen's Film Room.
Mike Clay's Eliminator Challenge advice
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs. Carolina Panthers): We've already burnt 12 teams, and, with six squads on a bye this week, we're left with one team we've yet to use with a win probability over 70%. The 4-7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (76%) still have a lot to play for (they're one game out in the NFC South) and are a 5-point home favorite against a 1-10 Carolina Panthers club that fired its coach earlier this week. This will be our only opportunity to use the Buccaneers other than perhaps at Carolina in Week 18.
Follow Be sure to follow Clay's Eliminator Challenge advice all season long and find other tips for Week 13 here.
Seth Walder's biggest edges from ESPN Analytics
Sam Howell OVER 0.5 interceptions (-145): It's rare for it to be worth it to pay this kind of price on an interception prop, but this is one situation where it makes sense: Howell has a higher-than-average pick rate (2.3%), his team is a heavy underdog and, crucially, he's expected to throw a ton, with an attempts prop line of 38.5 at ESPN BET. Each of those pass attempts carries interception risk. My model shows a remarkable fair price of -182.
Quincy Williams OVER 7.5 tackles + assists (+100): This is all about the opponent. The Jets are light underdogs against the Falcons, who run on early downs more than any team outside of the 49ers. Even though Williams' tackle rates are just OK, all those extra runs will result in more tackles to go around -- and some of them will make their way to him.
David Purdum's Action Report
The SuperBook in Las Vegas saw action early in the week from influential bettors on the Houston Texans, who opened as 3-point home favorites over the Denver Broncos. The line grew to as high as -4 at the SuperBook on Monday, before settling back at -3.5 on Thursday. The Carolina Panthers and New England Patriots, two underdogs, also saw early interest from influential bettors at the SuperBook.
The early money has been on the visiting San Francisco 49ers in their road game against the Philadelphia Eagles. San Francisco opened as 2.5-point favorites over the Eagles, and the line ticked up to -3 by middle of the week. At DraftKings, the 49ers had attracted more point-spread money than any other team playing on Sunday.
Anita Marks' NFL confidence pool picks
Broncos (+3.5) vs. Texans: Denver has won five straight games (4-1 ATS). Russell Wilson is playing well and not turning the ball over. Defensively, the Broncos have improved -- a top-seven unit in the league since Week 6 with a top-10 pressure rate
Los Angeles Rams (-3) vs. Cleveland Browns: Cleveland could be without Myles Garrett, who is dealing with a shoulder injury, Amari Cooper has a rib injury, and either PJ Walker or Joe Flacco could get the start. The Browns' defense is allowing 30 points per game on the road. The Rams crushed the Cards' secondary last week, scoring 37 points.
Tyler Fulghum's Pigskin Pick'em plays
Week 12 was fantastic for the public. Twelve of 16 favorites covered almost setting a record in the process. You know that means we're bound for some chaos soon. The NFL isn't the best reality TV out there because what's expected to happen comes to fruition. We'll see if Week 13 becomes a big week for the 'dogs. I'm thinking it will be smart to try and find a few you think can pull off the upset. Good luck in Week 13 of Pigskin Pick'em!
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