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Fantasy baseball: No such thing as safe saves?

There are few "sure things" in terms of saves these days, but Josh Hader remains about as close as you can get. AP

Oh, saves, you fickle, fickle statistical category.

We're in the era of closer-by-committees, of extreme relief specialization, where saves, while on the whole pacing at league-wide norms, are increasingly spread out across a larger number of relief pitchers. With almost exactly half of the 2022 regular season already in the books, only five relievers find themselves on pace for 35-plus saves -- a threshold reached by as many as 12 relievers only six seasons ago (2016). One of those pitchers on said pace is currently on the IL with an undetermined timetable for a return, while another finds himself only barely on track to get there.

Here's the current saves leaderboard, including the full-season pace for each reliever:

Additionally, we're at that perplexing stage of the fantasy baseball season where trade needs for this particular category couldn't be more obvious, while the on-field market is also nearing its most tenuous stage. The latter point teases the upcoming trade deadline, scheduled for Aug. 2 at 6 p.m. ET, a time that causes great fear among fantasy managers, for the heightened prospect of current closers changing teams and either slotting in as much-less-valuable setup men or taking over as the closers ahead of the incumbent for their new teams.