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Beyond the numbers: Just how good is Davante Adams in the red zone?

Even though Davante Adams hasn't put up an outrageous output in touchdowns, his end zone targets make him a top-10 receiver in fantasy. David Jensen/Getty Images

Everything that happens in the NFL has additional context when viewed from a fantasy football perspective. From position battles to injuries and so much more, the news cycle will constantly affect player values in fantasy football.

Our Fantasy Football Buzz file, with contributions from our ESPN fantasy writers and our NFL Nation reporters, aims to provide fantasy managers with the intel they need as news breaks around the league.

Key links: Fantasy depth charts | Weekly rankings
Scoring leaders | Projections | Strength of schedule


Beyond the numbers: Just how good is Davante Adams in the red zone?

By Tristan H. Cockcroft

Davante Adams' prowess in scoring situations is stunning.

With his two receiving touchdowns in Week 13, marking the sixth consecutive game in which he has scored a touchdown, he extended his league lead in the category (14) and narrowed the gap behind the overall touchdown leader, Jonathan Taylor (17). Adams' total isn't an outrageous output, nor is it significantly driven by good luck, as he has scored only 2.4 touchdowns more than expected thus far.

Adams' 23 end zone targets, seven more than the next-closest player and already tied for the eighth-largest single-season total this century, explain his touchdown production. They reaffirm his status as one of the greatest receivers in the game's history, as he has totaled 144 end zone targets for his career, converting 68 touchdowns on those throws, the second most of any player this century (Mike Evans, 78).

Consider Adams a top-10 fantasy wide receiver for the season's duration, with the possible exception of his Week 16 road matchup against the Seattle Seahawks, against whom he scored only 7.1 fantasy points in Week 11.

Here are some other statistically oriented insights to consider for Week 14:

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Where does Davante Adams stand among fantasy WRs?

Tristan H. Cockcroft explains why Davante Adams' recent performances should keep him among the top 10 wide receivers in fantasy.

  • Joe Burrow's healthy return to the Cincinnati Bengals' lineup could be the biggest boon for his running back, Chase Brown. Brown has played the past 20 Bengals regular-season games as their lead back, and in the 10 of those that Burrow fully played, Brown has averaged six more fantasy points than he has in the other 10. Brown has also scored 21 fewer fantasy points than expected in 2025, the largest differential in that direction among any of the position's top 20 in scoring, and his Bengals have the fifth-most favorable schedule the rest of the way.

  • Speaking of favorable schedules, particularly relevant to fantasy managers in a critical Week 14 in which four teams are on bye, the Washington Commanders are in an awfully good spot the rest of the way. They are the only team with a top-eight schedule at each of the quarterback, running back and wide receiver positions over the season's final five weeks. While Commanders players might not strike you as trustworthy weekly fantasy plays, their matchups do make players like Marcus Mariota, Chris Rodriguez Jr., Terry McLaurin and Deebo Samuel viable options if you're seeking depth.

  • Somewhat obscured in the shadows of big seasons by the top two scoring running backs, Christian McCaffrey (328.5 fantasy points) and Jonathan Taylor (297.6), De'Von Achane has put forth an impactful 2025 for his fantasy managers. Along with McCaffrey, Achane is one of only two players to have been worthy of your start in every one of his team's games. But unlike McCaffrey, who finished 25th among running backs in Week 8, Achane has finished no lower than 17th at the position in any week. The Miami Dolphins running back finds himself on pace for 360.4 points, an astonishing total for a player on a losing team (the Dolphins are 5-7). That would be the ninth-best single-year total by any running back to play for a losing team, and the common thread between Achane and the previous eight is that all derived a good share of their production in the receiving game. Of Achane's 254.4 points to date, 45% have come on catches, while the previous eight to do it scored a combined 47% of their fantasy points in the receiving game.

  • Week 13 represented the first time all season that Travis Etienne Jr. fell short of the top 50 at his position in scoring. The No. 14 running back in fantasy points for the season (168.6) despite the down week, Etienne was been a top-25 running back in scoring in nine of his previous 11 games, making him the latest-selected running back in the preseason to have at least that many (he was picked 36th on average).

  • Credit second-year wide receiver Troy Franklin with one of the year's bigger, and more beneath-the-radar, breakthroughs. Now 29th at the position in scoring for the season (135.9), Franklin has actually underperformed according to his underlying metrics by 26 fantasy points, meaning he should rank within the top 15 at the position, going by opportunity.

  • If this is indeed the week that Trey Benson (knee, IR) returns to action, he's timing his comeback right. The Arizona Cardinals running back faces the 10th-most-favorable schedule the rest of the way, and it's a path that only increases in appeal with each passing week: LAR, @HOU, ATL, @CIN, with the latter a dream matchup for championship week. Benson remains available in more than 40% of ESPN leagues, so be sure to scoop him up if he's out there in yours.


'Monday Night Football' reaction: What to make of the Patriots' RBs, Diggs' usage and Singletary's performance

By Eric Moody

The New England Patriots defeated the New York Giants 33-15 on Monday night in a game that wasn't close and underlined how far apart the two teams are. The Patriots became the first team to reach 11 wins, and the Giants have lost seven straight. Still, there were a few takeaways that managers can use to help guide their lineup decisions going forward heading into the fantasy playoffs.

  • Rhamondre Stevenson, to many managers' surprise, regained his starting role, but he and TreVeyon Henderson ultimately finished with a similar number of snaps, routes and touches. Stevenson stockpiled 15 touches and 11.0 points, while Henderson had 14 touches and 11.6 points. That kind of split makes it difficult to trust either running back as anything more than a flex option in lineups. Plus, the Patriots face the Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens and New York Jets coming out of their Week 14 bye. All three rank inside the top 10 in fewest points allowed to running backs.

  • Hunter Henry led the Patriots with six targets and 11.3 fantasy points, but it was Kayshon Boutte and Kyle Williams who scored the receiving touchdowns. The more surprising development was that Stefon Diggs played under 50% of offensive snaps for a second straight game. Diggs has just seven targets and 9.6 points over that span, which is especially concerning because the Patriots have the sixth-easiest remaining schedule for fantasy wide receivers. It will be difficult to have confidence starting Diggs moving forward.

  • Devin Singletary's roster percentage is about to surge after finishing with 15 touches and 19.2 fantasy points. Singletary and Tyrone Tracy Jr. played a similar number of snaps, but Tracy exited in the fourth quarter after taking a hard hit and struggling to put weight on his left leg. He was helped to the sideline and then quickly carted to the locker room with a hip injury. The Giants face the Washington Commanders, Minnesota Vikings, Las Vegas Raiders and Dallas Cowboys coming out of their Week 14 bye, which is a very favorable schedule. If Tracy is out, Singletary should see enough volume to capitalize on those matchups.


Justin Herbert to undergo surgery, could still play in Week 14

By Stephania Bell

The Los Angeles Chargers QB will undergo surgery on Monday to address a broken bone in his left hand, and he told reporters on Sunday night that he is approaching the team's Week 14 game as if he is playing.

According to Herbert, he initially hurt his left hand in the first quarter of Sunday's game when it made contact with Las Vegas Raiders safety Jeremy Chinn's helmet. He stayed in the game briefly but ultimately left to have his hand examined and eventually returned wearing protection over the area (a hard cast, per Herbert) -- the bulk of it visible underneath a glove. He made it through to the end of the game but afterward told reporters he will need a procedure "to stabilize it."

A hand fracture refers to a break of one of the metacarpal bones, the long bones of the hand that serve as the bridge between the fingers and the wrist.

When a fracture is a small, stable crack, there is sometimes an opportunity for it to heal on its own over four to six weeks, although surgery may still be recommended. However, if the bones are out of alignment or if there are multiple fragments, surgery is required to restore proper alignment and insert stabilizing hardware. The advantage to hardware placement is that it allows for early range of motion without fear of displacing the fracture or disrupting the healing process. It also allows for sooner return to play with less risk of reinjury.

If all goes well with the procedure and the early wound healing goes as planned, it is not out of the question that Herbert could return to play next week (the Chargers play on Monday night in Week 14). He would likely wear some splint or shield as protection over the incision and might work more out of the shotgun initially to avoid taking direct snaps to the left hand. It shouldn't affect his ability to throw and, as long as he can demonstrate good ball control, he should be able to function.

Herbert reminded reporters that he has been through "similar things" -- he fractured a finger in his left hand two years ago -- which he believes will be helpful in navigating his current injury. Pain tolerance has never been an issue in terms of holding Herbert back, and based on the fact that he completed Sunday's game despite the fracture, it is hard to imagine that it will hold him back once it is fixed.

Addendum 12/2: Herbert underwent successful surgery in Los Angeles on Monday and is officially considered day-to-day by the Chargers


Monday morning breakdown: Who's getting the ball?

by Eric Moody

Running backs

  • Chuba Hubbard of the Carolina Panthers took on a larger role against the Los Angeles Rams, playing over 50% of snaps for the first time since Week 8 and finishing with 19 touches -- his most since Week 3 -- along with a season-high 20.4 fantasy points. Rico Dowdle had surged following Hubbard's Week 4 injury with two straight games of at least 26 touches and 32 fantasy points, eventually taking over as the lead back in Week 9. However, Dowdle's efficiency has dipped, and Hubbard regained traction by handling third downs and mixing in more on early downs. With the bye ahead, Dowdle is no longer a must-start as Hubbard reenters the conversation.

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Will Jordan Mason step in for Aaron Jones if he's unable to return?

Liz Loza breaks down why Jordan Mason could be next up for the Vikings in their matchup vs. the Commanders.

  • Quinshon Judkins led the Cleveland Browns' backfield in snaps, touches (26), and fantasy points (15.9). Dylan Sampson suffered a calf injury in the third quarter against the San Francisco 49ers and did not return. If Sampson misses time, Judkins could see an even larger workload in Week 14 against a Tennessee Titans defense that allows the fifth-most RB fantasy points per game.

  • The New York Jets' Breece Hall set a season high in snaps played against the Atlanta Falcons and finished with 21 touches and 15.6 fantasy points. He's highly capable both as a between-the-tackles runner and as a receiver out of the backfield, which keeps his volume strong even if the Jets' bottom-tier offense caps his fantasy ceiling. Over his past four games, Hall has averaged 19.7 touches and 14.3 fantasy points per contest. He remains a reliable RB2 for fantasy managers, though he does face one of the toughest remaining schedules for a fantasy running back.

  • Kenneth Walker III has now played in over 50% of the Seattle Seahawks' snaps for two straight weeks. He has logged at least 14 touches in back-to-back games, and his receiving involvement and increased goal-line usage are encouraging. Walker remains a low-end RB2 in fantasy.

  • Ashton Jeanty set a career high in offensive snaps for the Las Vegas Raiders against the Los Angeles Chargers. Las Vegas does have a new offensive coordinator and ran a limited number of plays, but the usage is still encouraging. Jeanty finished with 21 touches and 12.1 fantasy points. However, the Raiders are not an offensive juggernaut, which diminishes some of his fantasy appeal.

  • Woody Marks' foot injury early in the first quarter had fantasy managers holding their breath, but he was able to return. The good news is that he led the Houston Texans' backfield in snaps, routes run and touches (20). Marks finished with only 7.7 fantasy points because Nick Chubb scored the team's rushing touchdown, but he has logged at least 16 touches in four straight games and remains firmly on the RB2 radar.

  • Devin Neal led the New Orleans Saints' backfield in snaps, routes run, touches and fantasy points (9.9) against the Miami Dolphins, which shouldn't come as a surprise with Alvin Kamara sidelined by an MCL sprain. It's an encouraging sign, especially given Taysom Hill's limited involvement. Kamara's status remains worth monitoring, as the Saints' remaining schedule is the third easiest for fantasy running backs.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars RB Travis Etienne Jr. didn't play on as many snaps as usual against the Titans, but that was because of the blowout, rather than a change in the team's RBBC. He dominated touches in the first half and finished the game with 13 touches and 5.1 fantasy points. As a reminder, over the previous four games Etienne had averaged 20.5 touches and 18.0 fantasy points per contest.

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Is Devaughn Vele a future fantasy star for the Saints?

Is Devaughn Vele a future fantasy star for the Saints?

  • Aaron Jones Sr. left in the third quarter with a shoulder injury after having led the Minnesota Vikings' backfield for three straight weeks. Jordan Mason replaced him and ran well. He would become fantasy-relevant if Jones misses time. The Vikings face the Washington Commanders, Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants over the next three games. Both Dallas and New York rank among the four teams that allow the most fantasy points to RBs.

  • Rams running back Blake Corum has played between 30% and 40% of his team's offensive snaps in each of the past four games, averaging 9.0 touches per contest. He posted a season-high 81 rushing yards and 14.1 fantasy points against the Panthers. Corum remains one of the top insurance backs in the league.

Wide receivers/tight ends

  • Emeka Egbuka led the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' wide receiver group in snaps, routes run and targets, while Chris Godwin Jr. paced the team with 78 receiving yards and continues to take snaps away from Tez Johnson and Sterling Shepard. The rotation could get even more crowded if Mike Evans returns next week. Jalen McMillan's expected return to practice would complicate things further.

  • Jacksonville TE Brenton Strange's snaps, routes run and targets all trended up for the second straight week. This is encouraging as he returns from hip and quad injuries suffered in Week 5 that landed him on IR. Strange has scored at least 13 fantasy points in back-to-back games and recorded his first touchdown of the season against the Titans. He now faces a Colts defense in Week 14 that has allowed the fourth-most TE fantasy points per game.

  • Devaughn Vele delivered a breakout performance for the Saints with eight catches, 93 yards and a touchdown. His expanded role looks to be real. With Rashid Shaheed having been traded, Brandin Cooks released and Chris Olave limited by a back injury, Vele has stepped into the Saints' No. 2 receiver spot and seen his snap share climb. He has 11 catches for 130 yards and a touchdown over his past two games after recording only six receptions in his first nine. With the Saints out of playoff contention and having decent matchups ahead, Vele is now on the flex radar in deeper leagues.

  • Jalen Coker finished with a season-high six targets, 74 receiving yards and 17.4 fantasy points against the Rams. His routes-run total was not far off from Tetairoa McMillan and Xavier Legette and he led the Panthers in targets. Coker has recorded at least three receptions in four straight games and appears fully healthy after missing the start of the season because of a quadriceps strain. Carolina has a bye in Week 14 but faces the Buccaneers and Saints in Weeks 15 and 16, two secondaries you can throw on. Coker could find himself on the flex radar in deeper leagues.

  • It's easy to overlook the Browns' passing game since they rank 31st in passing yards per contest and have alternated between two rookie quarterbacks, Dillon Gabriel and Shedeur Sanders. However, TE Harold Fannin Jr. looks like someone fantasy managers can rely on. He set a season high in offensive snaps against the 49ers, led the team in receiving yards (43) and scored their only receiving touchdown on a very windy day in Cleveland. The Browns are not a playoff team, and with David Njoku managing a knee injury, Cleveland could lean more on Fannin to close out the season.

  • Texans WR Jayden Higgins has recorded at least four receptions in each of the past four games and set a career high with 65 receiving yards this week against the Indianapolis Colts. He has also scored at least 11 fantasy points in four of his past six games. The only drawback is that the Texans don't seem to be expanding his role, as Higgins has run routes on less than 60% of their passing plays over the past four games. Even so, he deserves to be rostered in more leagues.

  • The Buffalo Bills WR room remains crowded, with Tyrell Shavers, Gabe Davis, Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, and Brandin Cooks all running routes. It's a situation to avoid in fantasy if possible. This is especially true when the team plays in less-than-ideal weather conditions, as it did on Sunday against Pittsburgh, where the offense is likely to lean heavily on the running game.

  • Pat Bryant appears to have surpassed Troy Franklin on the Denver Broncos' depth chart, playing more snaps and seeing more targets in both two- and three-receiver sets against the Commanders. Bryant caught 3 of 7 targets for 42 yards, while Franklin caught just 2 of 3 for 21 yards. This situation is worth monitoring as the Broncos face the Raiders in Week 14. Las Vegas has allowed the fourth-most WR fantasy points per game.


Early takeaways from Week 13: Meyers is top dog among Jags WRs; Bucs' Irving solid in return

By Liz Loza

Jakobi Meyers continues to lead Jags' WR corps

Meyers' change of scenery continues to salvage his fantasy stock and benefit fantasy managers. The former Raider (by way of New England) led all Jacksonville Jaguars pass-catchers in targets, converting all six of his looks for 90 yards and a score. The effort resulted in a season-high 21.3 fantasy points. Brian Thomas Jr. was back on the field, but Meyers' opportunities were boosted when Parker Washington was forced out of the game with a hip injury. If Washington were to miss time, Meyers and TE Brenton Strange would likely lead the Jags' passing attack versus Indianapolis in Week 14.

Kyle Pitts Sr. posts season-high numbers in Week 13

Kirk Cousins leaned on his tight end with Drake London sidelined. Pitts put forth a surprisingly efficient performance for the Atlanta Falcons, collecting a team-high 7 of 8 balls for 82 receiving yards. The mercurial tight end posted double-digit fantasy points (15.2) for the first time since Week 8. He'll be on the streaming radar in a plus matchup versus Seattle (the Seahawks entered Week 13 allowing the third-most fantasy points to TEs) in Week 14.

Marvin Harrison Jr. resumes WR1 role

Harrison returned from a two-week hiatus (appendectomy), picking up where he left off in Week 10. Trey McBride led the Arizona Cardinals in targets (nine), and MHJ and Michael Wilson drew seven apiece. Harrison led the corps in receiving yards, posting a 6-69-0 stat line. It's worth noting that Wilson's targets jumped significantly in the game's second half while Jacoby Brissett was chasing points. Harrison, on the other hand, endured as the team's priority WR for the bulk of the contest. He'll face a motivated Rams defense in Week 14.

Kyren Williams injures ankle, returns to action

Williams exited the Los Angeles Rams' eventual loss at the Carolina Panthers with under three minutes left in the second quarter. The Notre Dame product appeared to injure an ankle, but he was able to return in the second half. Although Williams registered six more totes than Blake Corum, his backfield mate outproduced Williams, registering 81 rushing yards on seven carries. Both backs had a rushing touchdown. Neither recorded a catch. Assuming Williams doesn't suffer any setbacks, he'll be ready to roll in a gettable matchup at Arizona next week.

Looking ahead

What can we expect from Bucky Irving after 81-yard performance in return?

It was a triumphant return for Irving, who hadn't suited up since Week 4. The second-year RB resumed his role as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' undisputed RB1, recording 81 scrimmage yards and a rushing score on 19 touches (16.1 fantasy points). He would have had two scores had the first not been called back due to a holding penalty. Irving's return could not be better timed for fantasy managers. He'll be back on the RB1 fantasy radar versus New Orleans in Week 14.


Beyond the numbers: Is Lamb or Pickens Dallas' best WR?

By Tristan H. Cockcroft

The valuation gap between George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb has narrowed following Pickens' back-to-back games of at least 29 fantasy points.

Pickens has delivered eight top-25 weekly scores in his 11 games, his 72.7% rate tied for fourth best among wide receivers, while his four games finishing among the position's top five trail only Ja'Marr Chase (5) and Puka Nacua (5). Meanwhile, if we remove Lamb's three injury absences, he has been a top-25 wide receiver in six of eight games (75%), but he hasn't finished better than 10th (Weeks 2 and 7).

Lamb does have an advantage over Pickens, however, as his 29.0% target share since returning to action in Week 7 beats Pickens' 26.0%, and he has three times as many red zone targets (9-3) in that time. It's a compelling battle between the two for the honor of top Dallas Cowboys wide receiver, and as you'll see, our rankings of the two have narrowed this week, with both inside the position's top eight.

Here are some other statistically oriented insights to consider for Week 13:

  • Sam Darnold's past two games -- 4.26 fantasy points in Week 11 against the Los Angeles Rams, then 17.66 last week against the Tennessee Titans -- perfectly encapsulate his inconsistent 2025. In 11 games, he has been a top-10 scoring quarterback an equal number of times as he has finished outside the top 20 (five apiece), as his scoring has vacillated and he has been largely susceptible to his matchups. The Seattle Seahawks face the toughest remaining schedule for a quarterback, making him a tough player to trust in the critical upcoming weeks.

  • On pace for a record-setting 2,029 receiving yard season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has also been a model of consistent excellence at wide receiver. He has finished top-25 at his position in every one of his 11 games, two more such performances than the next best, and also leads with eight top-10 finishes.

  • It's rare that we see a team defense/special teams put up the kind of consistent, weekly-start season that the Houston Texans have. The positional leader in fantasy points (118), the Texans have scored at least five points in every one of their first 11 games, matching the 2023 Baltimore Ravens as the only teams that can claim that among the past 15 NFL seasons.

  • Trevor Lawrence has scored 30 fewer fantasy points than expected, the widest margin in that direction among top-10 scoring quarterbacks. He has faced the position's second-toughest schedule thus far, which could partly explain it. Lawrence does get a rare soft matchup in Week 13 against the Titans, though it also comes in a week when there aren't any byes, which keeps him in more of the superflex/two-quarterback starting class. Enjoy it, though, as he has the seventh-toughest remaining schedule at the position.

  • With his 55.4-fantasy-point outburst in Week 12, Jahmyr Gibbs has moved into a tie with Jonathan Taylor for the most points scored over expected of any player (81). It has been stated previously in this space, but the mark of a great player is often the ability to exceed expectations similarly, but in Gibbs' case, pump the brakes ever so slightly. His remaining schedule is the third toughest among running backs, meaning there'll be a likely degree of regression from that current 81 number. That said, he's averaging 23.5 fantasy points, third best in football, and even a 20-point weekly performance would probably carry most of his teams through the playoffs.

  • Speaking of NFC North players and the schedule factor, Caleb Williams could be in for a rocky finish. He has faced the easiest quarterback schedule of any player, during which time he has scored 22 more fantasy points than expected. Unfortunately, Williams' remaining schedule is the third toughest and includes matchups against the Philadelphia Eagles (Week 13), Green Bay Packers (Weeks 14 and 16) and Cleveland Browns (Week 15) the next four weeks. He's a dangerous "go with the guys who got you here" play for the fantasy playoffs.