<
>

NRL Finals Week 1: Head-to-Head comparisons - what numbers say

Melbourne Storm

Head-to-head vs. other finalists

Played 11, Won 7, Lost 4. Success rate 63.6%

No surprise to see the minor premiers have the equal best success rate against top-eight opposition but they lost two from three against other finals sides in the last month of the regular season.

Points scored vs. other finalists

243: Melbourne boast many attacking weapons so it comes as no surprise that the Storm rank second in points scored against against the other top-eight teams during the regular season -- scoring an average of 22.09 points a game.

Points conceded vs. other finalists

136: Defence separates Melbourne from the other teams, as they've given up an average of just 12.4 points a game against other top-eight teams this year.

2016 winning record at AAMI Park

Melbourne is one of the NRL's toughest road trips and the Storm's 73.3 percent success rate at AAMI Park suggests they benefit more than most from the home ground advantage.

Head-to-head record vs. North Queensland

Played: 32 - Won 22, Lost 10. Success rate 68.8 percent

The Storm enjoy a strong record against the Cowboys, but their past 10 meetings since 2011 are split down the middle at five wins each and this one clash is also a 50/50 affair.

Canberra Raiders

Head-to-head vs. other finalists

Played 11, Won 7, Lost 4. Success rate 63.6 percent

A strong end to the regular season helped the Raiders to the equal-best success rate against top-eight opposition but only four of their 10 straight wins have come against other finalists.

Points scored vs. other finalists

264: Canberra boast the most lethal attack when playing against the other finalists -- racking up an average 24 points a game.

Points conceded vs. other finalists

214: Defence has long been an Achilles heal for Canberra but; they've tightened this area dramatically but still conceded an average 19.5 against the other top-eight teams this year.

2016 winning record at GIO Stadium

The conditions have been most off-putting aspect of a trip to Canberra over the past few seasons, but the people of the nation's capital now have a team that also makes life difficult for visitors; a 65.4 percent success rate at home means the Raiders will be more than a handful for Cronulla.

Head-to-head record vs. Cronulla

Canberra have an inferior record against Cronulla -- winning just 46.4 percent of their games -- but their past 10 games since 2012 paint a more even picture with both teams winning five.

Cronulla Sharks

Head-to-head vs. other finalists

Played 12, Won 7, Lost 3, Drawn 1. Success rate 58.3 percent

The Sharks' success rate isn't fantastic despite their 16-match unbeaten run but they did beat all of the other finalists through the regular season.

Points scored vs. other finalists

240: Cronulla have a reputation for being a grinding side that enjoys the arm-wrestle type of game, but they have now learned how to find the tryline -- registering an average 20 points per game when facing other top-eight teams.

Points conceded vs. other finalists

220: While Cronulla have improved their attack, it may have come at the expense of their defence as the Sharks are leaking an average 18.3 points a game against their fellow finalists.

2016 winning record at GIO Stadium

Very few teams enjoy going to Canberra to play a game of football, and Cronulla is no different: the Sharks' appalling 44 percent win rate at GIO Stadium won't have their fans heading to the nation's capital with too much confidence.

Head-to-head record vs. Canberra

Cronulla have a 53.6 percent winning record over Canberra, and there is nothing between the two sides over their past 10 meetings. However, the Sharks will take some confidence in the fact they have won two of their previous three encounters against the Raiders.

North Queensland Cowboys

Head-to-head vs. other finalists

Played 11, Won 6, Lost 5. Success rate 54.5 percent

The premiers haven't the success rate against top-eight sides that many might expect, but they proved in 2015 they could perform under pressure of finals.

Points scored vs. other finalists

218: For a team blessed with so many attacking options, it is a huge surprise to learn the premiers have the worst attack of the top four sides -- posting an average of just 19.8 points against their other top-eight opponents.

Points conceded vs. other finalists

173: North Queensland rate second only to minor premier Melbourne in defence against top-eight teams -- conceding a miserly 15.7 points a game.

2016 winning record at AAMI Park

As already highlighted, Melbourne has been a graveyard for many teams so North Queensland's 50 percent success rate at AAMI Park probably isn't too bad -- plus the Cowboys were successful on their last visit, in last year's finals series.

Head-to-head record vs. Melbourne

North Queensland's dismal 31.2 percent winning record against Melbourne will hardly fill the Cowboys with confidence; they have five wins each since 2011, but the Storm have won three of their previous four clashes.

Brisbane Broncos

Head-to-head vs. other finalists

Played 11, Won 7, Lost 4. Success rate 63.6 per cent

The Broncos have a reputation as a big-game team, and they will be buoyed by an impressive success rate against the other top-eight sides.

Points scored vs. other finalists

217: Brisbane's attack has been below expectation against top-eight teams this year; they rank fifth among all the finalists with an average of 19.7 points per game.

Points conceded vs. other finalists

271: Defence has not been a strong point for Brisbane this year either; the Broncos have conceded an average of 24.6 points per game against the other seven finals teams.

2016 winning record at Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane boats a healthy 64 percent success rate at home -- winning 151 of 236 games at Suncorp Stadium. As highlighted in State of Origin, Suncorp can be a highly intimidating and imposing place for visiting sides -- even for fellow Queenslanders such as Gold Coast.

Head-to-head record vs. Gold Coast

Brisbane have long been the dominant power in Queensland, particularly the south-east, and their record over the Titans reflects it -- the Broncos winning 75 percent of their matches including 12 of their past 14 meetings.

Penrith Panthers

Head-to-head vs. other finalists

Played 11, Won 4, Lost 7. Success rate 36.4 percent

The Panthers head into the finals as one of the form teams after seven victories in eight games, but only two of those wins have come against top-eight opponents.

Points scored vs. other finalists

202: Penrith play with the exuberance of youth but that carefree approach isn't reflected in points scored against their top 8 rivals -- the Panthers posting just 18.4 points per game this season.

Points conceded vs. other finalists

235: Penrith will want to improve on their defence ahead of the finals, too, as they've given up an average 21.4 points per game against the other finalists this season.

2016 winning record at Allianz Stadium

Penrith's 'home final' will be taken to Allianz Stadium, where the Panthers have been less than convincing over the years -- winning just 47.5 percent of their games at the venue.

Head-to-head record vs. Canterbury

History suggests Penrith might do it tough against Canterbury, as the Panthers have won just 38.8 percent of their matches, but this year's form suggests otherwise.

Canterbury Bulldogs

Head-to-head vs. other finalists

Played 10, Won 4, Lost 6. Success rate 40 percent

They have played the fewest top-eight sides of the finalists, and have the second-worst success rate. The finals will show if they are Bulldogs or just bullies?

Points scored vs. other finalists

169: Canterbury have been criticised this season for looking 'clunky' and 'disorganised' in attack; coach Des Hasler bristles at those claims but the stats show they are the worst team in the top eight with the ball -- scoring a miserly 16.9 points game against top-eight opponents.

Points conceded vs. other finalists

216: Canterbury once had a reputation for being brutal exponents of defence, but not so much in 2016: the Bulldogs have let in an average 21.6 points a game against the other seven finalists this year.

2016 winning record at Allianz Stadium

Canterbury will be more than pleased to play Penrith's 'home' final at Allianz Stadium, where the Bulldogs boat an impressive 61.8 percent winning record -- much better than the 53.2 percent strike rate they have at the Panthers' 'real' home ground, Pepper Stadium.

Head-to-head record vs. Penrith

Canterbury enjoy a strong record against Penrith, dominating their head-to-head encounters with a 61.2 percent success rate -- including three wins from their previous four -- but the current form guide defies those statistics.

Gold Coast Titans

Head-to-head vs. other finalists

Played 11, Won 2, Lost 8, Drawn 1. Success rate 18.2 percent

The Titans have the worst winning percentage against top-eight opponents, but they have defied all odds all season.

Points scored vs. other finalists

194: Gold Coast have enjoyed a better-than-expected season but attack isn't really a strong point; they have scored just 17.6 points per game against top-eight opponents this year, superior only to Canterbury.

Points conceded vs. other finalists

281: Gold Coast's record of surrendering an average 25.5 points per game against the top-eight teams this year is by far the worst of all the finals sides. It's often said that 'defence wins big games' so the Titans will need to muscle up, and fast.

2016 winning record at Suncorp Stadium

The Titans have a dismal record at Suncorp Stadium, winning just three of 16 previous matches at an 18.8 percent success rate. Dig a little deeper and it looks worse, as two of those three wins came against Canterbury; the only time the Titans beat the Broncos there was way back in 2007.

Head-to-head record vs. Brisbane

After upsetting Brisbane in their first ever meeting in 2007, the Titans have endured plenty of pain against the Broncos. Gold Coast have won just five of 20 meetings and they have lost their past four against their Queensland neighbours.